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AI Analysis> Market Intelligence Feed
> TrAIde Score Analysis
Kalman-Smoothed Signal β How to Read the Score
β100 β β60
CRYOGENIC FLOOR
Max capitulation. Historical buy zone.
β60 β β15
SYSTEM COOLING
Accumulation phase. Favours buyers.
β15 β +15
CORE STABILIZED
Neutral. No strong signal. Wait.
+15 β +60
THERMAL EXPANSION
Overheating. Reduce exposure.
+60 β +100
CRITICAL OVERHEAT
Mania peak. High risk of reversal.
TrAIde Index β Macro
Bitcoin (BTC)
Source: MarketMetrics DB Β· RSIββ / MACD / EMAβββ
Macro Signal
COMPUTER LOG:
Overheating. Reduce exposure. Momentum stretching past macro averages.
ROOT CAUSE: MACD histogram negative (-333.56) β daily momentum confirms downside pressure.
Price
$80,869.21
EMA Dist
β+23.7%
RSI
β47.2
MACD
β-333.56
Score History
BTC β 180-Day TrAIde Score History
Apr 28 β Oct 23 Β· 179 days
Low agreement - conflicting signals
Price: $80,869.21
200 EMA (Weekly): $65,378.86 β macro trend baseline
RSIββ: 47.2 β neutral momentum
MACD Histogram: -333.56 β negative momentum, downside bias
EMA Distance: +23.7% β elevated deviation from macro average
Indicator consensus: 1/3 bullish (33% agreement)
π¬ Algorithm Notice: We are continuously optimising the TrAIde Score based on real market data. Thresholds and parameters may be refined over time to improve accuracy.
Score Details
TrAIde Index β Micro
Bitcoin (BTC)
Source: Kraken OHLC Β· EMAββ / RSIβ / ATRββ
Short-Term Signal
COMPUTER LOG:
Accumulation phase. Favours buyers. Price entering a value zone below the macro mean.
ROOT CAUSE: RSIβ at 38.7 β short-term selling pressure dominating below equilibrium.
Price
$80,721.10
EMA Dist
β-0.40%
RSI
β38.7
MACD
β-21.2407
Score History
BTC β 30-Day Micro Score History (1H)
434 candles
Strong consensus across indicators
Price: $80,721.10
EMAββ: $81046.54 β -0.40% deviation (short-term trend baseline)
RSIβ: 38.7 β below equilibrium
ATRββ: $328.98 β volatility range per bar (0.41% of price)
MACD/ATR: -6.5 β negative momentum velocity
Indicator consensus: 3/3 bearish (100% agreement)
Score Details
> Intelligence Hub
Macro sentiment divergence engine. Compare institutional capital flows (MSTR mNAV) against real-time retail sentiment to identify high-signal market divergences.
MSTR Institutional Tracker
Live institutional mNAV modeling Β· Kraken WebSockets + Finnhub
SEC 8-K / 10-Q Corporate Constants Β· As of 2026-10-23
Computed Engine Output
mNAV = Market Cap Γ· (BTC Holdings Γ BTC Price). EV = Market Cap + Debt + Preferred Equity β USD Reserve β USD Cash. Corporate constants sourced from strategy.com via live web search. Not financial advice.
Supply & Flow Matrix
Exchange reserves vs. Spot ETF capital movement
ETF flows: Farside Investors (real-time) | Exchange balance & ETF AUM: serving last known baseline (refreshing in background)
Fear & Greed Engine
Multi-variate on-chain sentiment Β· Alternative.me Β· 5m poll
Neutral market axis. Volatility and social data sets are balanced.
