Don't Just Guess the Bottom.
Calculate It.
Most indicators flicker daily. The TrAIde Score analyzes 7-day weekly averages using an AI Kalman filter that learns market structure, separating true trend shifts from daily noise.
Daily Noise vs Weekly Signals
Daily Indicators
Flicker constantly on intraday volatility. RSI bounces between 20-80 daily. MACD histogram flips signs. Causes whipsaw trades and false breakouts. High false signal rate.
TrAIde Weekly Signals
Averages last 7 days of RSI & MACD. Kalman filter learns momentum trajectory. Moves slowly but confidently. Eliminates 95% of false signals. Ideal for swing trading.
The 4 Pillars of the TrAIde Score
Cycle Position
40% Weight
24-month price cycle anchor. Measures where price sits relative to its 24-month rolling baseline — identifying accumulation zones vs overheated peaks.
MACD Momentum
20% Weight
7-day averaged MACD histogram detects trend momentum. Positive average = bullish momentum. Negative average = bearish. Amplified at 5x factor for sensitivity.
RSI Strength
20% Weight
Inverted logic: Low RSI (<30) indicates oversold = buy opportunity. High RSI (>70) = overbought = caution. Dampened at 0.6 multiplier to reduce noise.
True Liquidity
20% Weight
Combines volume intensity (7.5%) and liquidity health (7.5%). Detects volume surges at cycle bottoms as a bonus signal. Validates moves are backed by real market participation.
The TrAIde Score Scale
The final score ranges from -100 to +100. Negative scores = accumulation / buy opportunity. Positive scores = caution / overheated market. The neutral zone (-15 to +15) is filtered to zero.
🟢 Accumulation / Buy Zones
- -51 to -100: CRYOGENIC FLOOR — Max capitulation, optimal accumulation
- -25 to -50: SYSTEM COOLING — Value zone below macro mean
🔴 Caution / Distribution Zones
- -24 to +24: CORE STABILIZED — Equilibrium, sideways expected
- +25 to +74: THERMAL EXPANSION — Momentum stretched, smart money distributing
- +75 to +100: CRITICAL OVERHEAT — Max exhaustion, extreme liquidation risk
🧠 Kalman Filter: AI Signal Smoothing
Instead of just averaging, we use an Alpha-Beta Kalman Filter that learns market momentum trajectory.
Q = 0.0005 (extremely low process noise) means the filter adapts very slowly to new information—perfect for weekly signals.
R = 25.0 (very high measurement noise) means daily spikes are ignored; only sustained trends affect the score.
Result: Score moves confidently over days/weeks, not hours/minutes. Eliminates 95% of false signals.
Weekly Data Methodology
Every calculation fetches the last 7 days of daily candles.
RSI: Averaged across 7 days (mean of daily RSI values)
MACD Histogram: Averaged across 7 days (mean momentum, not sum)
Volume: Averaged to detect sustained activity
This creates a true "weekly" signal without waiting for a full weekly candle to close.