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AI Analysis> Market Intelligence Feed
> TrAIde Score Analysis
Kalman-Smoothed Signal β How to Read the Score
β100 β β60
CRYOGENIC FLOOR
Max capitulation. Historical buy zone.
β60 β β15
SYSTEM COOLING
Accumulation phase. Favours buyers.
β15 β +15
CORE STABILIZED
Neutral. No strong signal. Wait.
+15 β +60
THERMAL EXPANSION
Overheating. Reduce exposure.
+60 β +100
CRITICAL OVERHEAT
Mania peak. High risk of reversal.
TrAIde Index β Macro
Bitcoin (BTC)
Source: MarketMetrics DB Β· RSIββ / MACD / EMAβββ
Macro Signal
COMPUTER LOG:
Overheating. Reduce exposure. Momentum stretching past macro averages.
ROOT CAUSE: MACD histogram negative (-651.95) β daily momentum confirms downside pressure.
Price
$81,584.26
EMA Dist
β+25.1%
RSI
β51.1
MACD
β-651.95
Score History
BTC β 180-Day TrAIde Score History
Apr 22 β Oct 17 Β· 179 days
Strong consensus across indicators
Price: $81,584.26
200 EMA (Weekly): $65,219.63 β macro trend baseline
RSIββ: 51.1 β neutral momentum
MACD Histogram: -651.95 β negative momentum, downside bias
EMA Distance: +25.1% β elevated deviation from macro average
Indicator consensus: 2/3 bullish (67% agreement)
π¬ Algorithm Notice: We are continuously optimising the TrAIde Score based on real market data. Thresholds and parameters may be refined over time to improve accuracy.
Score Details
TrAIde Index β Micro
Bitcoin (BTC)
Source: Kraken OHLC Β· EMAββ / RSIβ / ATRββ
Short-Term Signal
COMPUTER LOG:
Overheating. Reduce exposure. Momentum stretching past macro averages.
ROOT CAUSE: RSIβ at 74.7 β short-term buying interest sustained above equilibrium.
Price
$82,073.80
EMA Dist
β0.59%
RSI
β74.8
MACD
β53.6537
Score History
BTC β 30-Day Micro Score History (1H)
407 candles
Strong consensus across indicators
Price: $82,073.80
EMAββ: $81588.69 β +0.59% deviation (short-term trend baseline)
RSIβ: 74.7 β overbought territory
ATRββ: $250.37 β volatility range per bar (0.31% of price)
MACD/ATR: 21.4 β positive momentum velocity
Indicator consensus: 3/3 bullish (100% agreement)
Score Details
> Intelligence Hub
Macro sentiment divergence engine. Compare institutional capital flows (MSTR mNAV) against real-time retail sentiment to identify high-signal market divergences.
MSTR Institutional Tracker
Live institutional mNAV modeling Β· Kraken WebSockets + Finnhub
SEC 8-K / 10-Q Corporate Constants Β· As of 2026-10-16
Computed Engine Output
mNAV = Market Cap Γ· (BTC Holdings Γ BTC Price). EV = Market Cap + Debt + Preferred Equity β USD Reserve β USD Cash. Corporate constants sourced from strategy.com via live web search. Not financial advice.
Supply & Flow Matrix
Exchange reserves vs. Spot ETF capital movement
ETF flows: Farside Investors (real-time) | Exchange balance & ETF AUM: serving last known baseline (refreshing in background)
Fear & Greed Engine
Multi-variate on-chain sentiment Β· Alternative.me Β· 5m poll
Neutral market axis. Volatility and social data sets are balanced.
